HarvardX: Data Science: Probability course Syllabus

Full curriculum breakdown — modules, lessons, estimated time, and outcomes.

Overview (80-120 words) describing structure and time commitment.

Module 1: Introduction to Probability

Estimated time: 6 hours

  • Define probability and its role in data science
  • Understand random experiments, outcomes, and sample spaces
  • Identify events and their complements
  • Build intuition using real-world examples of randomness

Module 2: Probability Rules and Distributions

Estimated time: 10 hours

  • Apply basic rules of probability
  • Use combinatorics to count outcomes
  • Understand discrete probability distributions
  • Model random processes using probability distributions

Module 3: Conditional Probability and Bayes’ Theorem

Estimated time: 10 hours

  • Define conditional probability
  • Assess independence of events
  • Apply Bayes’ theorem to update beliefs
  • Solve real-world problems using probabilistic reasoning

Module 4: Random Variables and Expectation

Estimated time: 10 hours

  • Define random variables and their types
  • Compute expected value and variance
  • Interpret expectation in decision-making contexts
  • Analyze variability in data science scenarios

Module 5: Foundations for Inference and Modeling

Estimated time: 8 hours

  • Connect probability to statistical inference
  • Understand uncertainty and risk in modeling
  • Prepare for machine learning and advanced statistics

Module 6: Final Project

Estimated time: 6 hours

  • Apply probability concepts to a real-world dataset
  • Calculate probabilities and interpret results
  • Present findings with clear probabilistic reasoning

Prerequisites

  • Familiarity with basic algebra
  • Basic understanding of data analysis concepts
  • High school-level mathematical maturity

What You'll Be Able to Do After

  • Explain core probability concepts in data science
  • Apply probability rules to real-world problems
  • Compute and interpret conditional probabilities and Bayes’ theorem
  • Understand and use random variables and expectation
  • Build a strong foundation for advanced statistics and machine learning
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